Will Grok 4.2 be profitable on Prediction Arena end of February 2026?
20
Ṁ1kṀ1.8kMar 1
27%
chance
1H
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ALL
Resolves YES if Grok 4.2 shows positive PnL (profit) on predictionarena.ai at 11:59 PM ET on February 28, 2026.
Resolves NO if PnL is zero or negative at check time
Resolves N/A if:
predictionarena.ai becomes inaccessible
The competition officially ends or is paused before the resolution date
The model has been removed from the leaderboard
The model's portfolio was reset
The model stopped trading before February 28, 2026
The model is replaced by a newer version that does not inherit the existing portfolio
Profitability cannot be determined for any other reason
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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