MANIFOLD
Will Grok 4.2 be profitable on Prediction Arena end of February 2026?
9
Ṁ1kṀ576
Mar 1
60%
chance

Resolves YES if Grok 4.2 shows positive PnL (profit) on predictionarena.ai at 11:59 PM ET on February 28, 2026.

Resolves NO if PnL is zero or negative at check time

Resolves N/A if:

  • predictionarena.ai becomes inaccessible

  • The competition officially ends or is paused before the resolution date

  • The model has been removed from the leaderboard

  • The model's portfolio was reset

  • The model stopped trading before February 28, 2026

  • The model is replaced by a newer version that does not inherit the existing portfolio

  • Profitability cannot be determined for any other reason

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy