Which of these AI predictions will happen in 2024?
51
1.4kṀ2479
resolved May 20
Resolved
YES
LLaMA-3 and GPT-4-level open-source models
Resolved
YES
More robotics advances
Resolved
YES
Sora public release, and the proliferation of hyper-realistic AI video
Resolved
NO
-GPT-5, which Sam Altman said could be "the pivotal moment" more than ChatGPT was
Resolved
NO
iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick
Resolved
NO
end-to-end music generators 2x better than Suno
Resolved
NO
-Devin availability, and agents that can autonomously do real SWE
Resolved
NO
agents doing all sorts of tasks, as a consequence of just swapping in stronger models
Resolved
NO
Video-input, long-context models. Gemini-1.5 and similar available to the public

I will probably resolve these according to my subjective opinion and not operationalize strict criteria, please bet (or don't) accordingly.

Technology
AI
OpenAI
AI Impacts
GPT-5 Speculation
AI Safety
2024
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