By 2028, will there be a language model of less than 10B parameters that is superior to GPT-4?
14
1kṀ553
resolved May 14
Resolved
YES

Pretty impressed by this:

https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/phi-2-the-surprising-power-of-small-language-models/

I will not bet in this market. I will look primarily at whatever benchmarks are most prominent at the time to determine which model is better.

The model does not have to be clearly superior to gpt-4, if it's just a bit better I will resolve YES. If anyone has suggestions for less subjective resolution criteria that won't be goodharted I am open.

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