Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-2 this decade?
Plus
16
Ṁ7982031
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
close date: end of 2030
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-4 this decade?
39% chance
Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)
56% chance
Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?
71% chance
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?
29% chance
Will any Deepmind model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)
22% chance
Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?
53% chance
Will we have an open-source model better than GPT-4-Turbo before 2025?
95% chance
Will inflection AI have a model that is 10X the size of original GPT-4 at the end of Q1, 2025?
26% chance