Will a leading AI organization in Europe be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
Plus
17
Ṁ398Dec 31
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A notable attack could include a bombing, an attack on someone who works there, a hack, etc. The attack does not need to be successful; a bomb that doesn't detonate would still count. However the planned attack must actually matter. Some graffiti on the wall of an AI lab is not going to resolve this YES, though more significant vandalism like cutting the internet cables could count.
A large, sustained, in-person protest would also count, even if nothing is violent. Must be at least 500 people over the course of at least a week, and actually cause disruption to them.
Any hack counts if it's seriously disruptive. A data breach alone is not good enough.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
33% chance
Will the "culture war" come for AI before end 2024?
36% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
42% chance
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
40% chance
Will there be an offensive, ideologically motivated incident against an AI entity in 2024?
23% chance
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
28% chance
Will there be real-world protests in the US of at least 1,000 people against AI art by the end of 2026?
62% chance