Franklin Baldo
closes Jan 1, 2026
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm
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Franklin Baldois predicting NO at 33%
Hopefully Sydney will be a cautionary tale and the industry will avoid anthropomorphic AIs
Franklin Baldo
The calls for action are starting to show up. https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1626092150726483969?t=-9ptjY4I7vr40o9VLXEiHg&s=19
Daniel Tellois predicting NO at 34%
@FranklinBaldo would one of those oh so compelling online petitions qualify?

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YES shares
129
56
41
29
28
NO shares
365
123
15
12
12







Franklin Baldo
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2024?
Franklin Baldo
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2025?
Isaac King
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2023?
Esben Kran
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident before 2024?
Yaakov Saxon
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
Scott Alexander
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Lars Doucet
Will any "Anti-AI art" law be created in the USA in 2023?

Gustavo Mafra
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Matthew Barnett
Will an AI hold a high national office in the United States before January 1st, 2040?
Franklin Baldo
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2024?
Franklin Baldo
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2025?
Isaac King
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2023?
Esben Kran
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident before 2024?
Yaakov Saxon
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
Scott Alexander
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Lars Doucet
Will any "Anti-AI art" law be created in the USA in 2023?

Gustavo Mafra
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Matthew Barnett
Will an AI hold a high national office in the United States before January 1st, 2040?