Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2026? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2026

Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2026?

39%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm

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Franklin Baldois predicting NO at 33%

Hopefully Sydney will be a cautionary tale and the industry will avoid anthropomorphic AIs

The calls for action are starting to show up. https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1626092150726483969?t=-9ptjY4I7vr40o9VLXEiHg&s=19

Julian Schüssler

What do you mean by "AI rights"?

@JulianSchussler people asking for rights for ai agents, similar to animals rights

Daniel Tellois predicting NO at 34%

@FranklinBaldo would one of those oh so compelling online petitions qualify?

Franklin Baldois predicting NO at 33%

@deagol no, i mean presential protests

Lbought Ṁ20 of YES

whoops, small market. not that much.

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Matthew Barnett

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Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2023?

Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident before 2024?

Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?

Scott Alexander

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will any "Anti-AI art" law be created in the USA in 2023?

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Matthew Barnett

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