If Pierre Poilievre wins a majority, what will he do in his first year?
9
1.5kṀ560
2028
84%
Eliminate the carbon tax
75%
Eliminate GST on new homes sold for under $1 million
63%
Reduce the CBC/Radio-Canada budget by more than 5%
60%
Reduce capital gains tax
55%
Struggle to handle Trump
55%
Restrict safe consumption sites, resulting in one or more closure
51%
Amend the Criminal Code regarding bail
50%
Eliminate the Housing Accelerator Fund
50%
Life imprisonment for "fentanyl kingpins"

[If Pierre Poilievre wins a majority in the 45th Canadian federal election with the Conservative Party](https://manifold.markets/dittopoop/will-the-conservative-party-of-cana), what policies/changes/laws will be implemented within the first year?

Question will be marked as unresolved if he does not win a majority.

  • Update 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Clarification on Leadership: If Pierre Poilievre is not in power at the time the policy is implemented, the market should be resolved as no.

    • Condition for Resolution: This applies regardless of any other factors, ensuring that actions attributed to him only count if he is the one holding power when they occur.

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@Seanny123 if Mark Carney eliminates the carbon tax, and then Pierre Pollievre is elected PM, how would this resolve?

@chris the question says "what will he do" so if he isn't the one in power when it happens, then I'd resolve it "no"

@Odoacre how will I know how to resolve this?

@Seanny123 You could look at the Editorial section of The Globe And Mail, perhaps? I don't think there's a good way to figure out how to resolve this but I figure nobody can really say that your resolution was clearly wrong if it agrees with the Editorial Board of Canada's most respected newspaper.

I plan on changing the closing date for this question once the date for the election is established.

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