Total number of deportations under Donald Trump by June 30, 2025
23
Ṁ1kṀ7.7kresolved Aug 25
100%3%
100,001-150,000
0.6%
0-1,000
0.5%
1,001-5,000
0.7%
5,001-10,000
0.7%
10,001-25,000
0.7%
25,001-50,000
1.7%
50,001-100,000
92%
Over 150,000
This market predicts the number of deportations in the first half of 2025 under a potential Trump administration.
Resolution will be based on official Department of Homeland Security (DHS) deportation statistics for January 1 - June 30, 2025.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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2024 Average Deportation (monthly) 61,612 (Source: ohs.dhs.gov) - highest on record since 2010. So 1st half of Biden’s 2024 would already be 370k.
Trump promised of “millions”, ve also explicitly stated “3 million criminals” - lets low ball to say 2mm which would need to more than double 2024 rate to 166k/month (or 1 million+ for “1st half of 2025)
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