Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Premium
3
Ṁ22172027
418,448
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on numbers from the Department of Homeland Security’s Office of Immigration Statistics (or their successor).
If the H1B changes name, I'll resolve based on the name of a successor, ie a temporary visa for guest workers in specialty occupations.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
40% chance
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
45% chance
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
35% chance
Will I get a permanent visa to stay in the US in 2024?
56% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
35% chance
How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024? (Independent market)
Will a Significant US Immigration Law be Passed in 2025?
51% chance
Will high skill immigration to the USA become more restricted under President Trump?
59% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
45% chance