How many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029?
11
1kṀ3114
2029
28%
100 or fewer
33%
101-1000
33%
1001-10,000
6%
More than 10,000

For context, as far as I can tell, even under the first Trump administration fewer than 100 denaturalization cases were even filed much less resulted in actual denaturalization. So the higher-numbered categories in this question would represent a very large increase.

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Politics
Trump's Second Term
United States
Culture War
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Today's excited utterances from the White House should probably move this market a bit.
Any maybe arbitrage a bit with this market https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-trump-strip-usa-citizenship-fr-nP9PAzthIq

bought Ṁ100 NO

What’s your source for ‘actual’ denaturalizations? Apparently information about it completed cases is not easy to come by (may not be publicly available).

bought Ṁ250 NO

https://www.npr.org/2025/06/30/nx-s1-5445398/denaturalization-trump-immigration-enforcement

DOJ announces plans to prioritize cases to revoke citizenship
Denaturalization is a tactic heavily used during the McCarthy era and one that was expanded during the Obama administration and grew further during President Trump's first term. It's a tool usually used in only the most serious and rare of cases: dealing with Nazis or war criminals.

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