Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
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In 2022-Dec Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation that lots of people will die from famine soon.
Resolves "Yes" if at the end of 2032, there is credible reporting or data, showing that 100 million people died from famine during the decade from 2023-Jan to 2032-Dec, inclusively.
This market is partly an open "bet" with @Bioliberalism, and I will be placing trades on this market.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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100m deaths would be equivalent to annual rate of ~125 per 100k on this chart, i.e. on a par with the worst decade on record, the 1870s. (Assuming I'm calculating correctly).
https://ourworldindata.org/famines#long-term-trends-in-global-famine-mortality
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