Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030? | Manifold

Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030?

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According to the World Bank estimations, the were 700.6 million people who lived in extreme poverty in Sep. 2023. Will this number be cut in half by 2030?

Will resolve with World Bank data, or other reliable source if World Bank data is unavailable.

Extreme poverty means 2.15$ in 2017 dollars, PPP adjusted.

Resolution might be delayed while waiting for available data.

Link to world back page of poverty: https://pip.worldbank.org/home

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From 2011 to 2018, the percentage of people in extreme poverty fell from 16% to 10%, or from 1.13 bio. to 0.7683 bio, giving a change of ~365 mio. A proportional fall would be to 700.1/(0.16/0.1)=437.5625 mio., and a fall by the same number of people would be to 700.1-(1130-768.3)=338.4 mio. In general, going the last mile is more difficult, so I'm inclined slightly towards no.

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