Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
Plus
21
Ṁ8702032
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation in 2022-Dec:
"Starting some time next year, we are going to have food shortages that are multi-continential. And they are probably going to expand to the point that we are going to lose a billion people over the next decade. The supply chain system just takes too long to adapt."
Will we see this?
Resolves "Yes" if at the end of 2032, there is credible reporting or data, showing that 1 billion people died from famine during the decade from 2023-Jan to 2032-Dec, inclusively.
This market is partly a non-exclusive "bet" with @Bioliberalism, and I will be placing trades on this market.
Click here for a 100m version of this question
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
16% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
50% chance
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
35% chance
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
77% chance
Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030?
34% chance
Will there be a steep decrease of world human population during the year 2030, and for which reason?
How many Gazans will starve to death by the end of 2025?
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
21% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
40% chance