Will at least 3 million Americans die from nuclear war in 2022?

46

240Ṁ7677

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

In the event of needing a body count, I'll refer to whichever estimates are available. If none are available I'll try to make a reasonable guess. For semi-attributable and delayed-attributable (e.g. some people starving due to infrastructure loss) I'll try to make inclusions if it seems obvious those deaths would not have happened without the nuclear exchange.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ2
2		Ṁ2
3		Ṁ2
4		Ṁ1
5		Ṁ1

People are also trading

Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?

Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023?

Will at least 100,000 Americans die of bird flu in 2025?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?

Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?

Will at least 800 million people die worldwide between 2024 and 2030?

Sort by:

If this happens, I am extremely unlikely to care about the M$

Buying some of both to get the pool higher

Betting on people pulling money for other investments

this was actually a miss click. efficient markets ftw

updating on putin allegedly saying things which sound uncomfortably like nuclear threats

Buying mostly to increase the size of the pool

this really needs a bigger ante to be worth betting on seriously

math bad

People are also trading

Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?

Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023?

Will at least 100,000 Americans die of bird flu in 2025?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?

Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?

Will at least 800 million people die worldwide between 2024 and 2030?

Related questions

Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?

Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023?

Will at least 100,000 Americans die of bird flu in 2025?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?

Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?

Will at least 800 million people die worldwide between 2024 and 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy