Will another significant military conflict occur before June 21, 2025?
14
100Ṁ365Jun 21
70%
chance
1H
6H
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This market assesses the likelihood of a significant military conflict occurring before June 21, 2025. A 'significant military conflict' is defined as an armed engagement between state or non-state actors resulting in at least 100 fatalities or substantial geopolitical impact. Resolution will be based on credible news reports from sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Associated Press.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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