Will the first NYT article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
19
132
270
resolved Oct 8
Resolved
YES

Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.

To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets. As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.

I'll not be betting in this market, of course.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ246
2Ṁ23
3Ṁ17
4Ṁ11
5Ṁ8
Sort by:
bought Ṁ2,300 of YES
bought Ṁ500 of YES

(Some drew the line at markets related to the deaths of public figures — which they said could encourage assassinations.)

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/08/technology/prediction-markets-manifold-manifest.html