How low will S&P500 go in 2025? | Manifold

How low will S&P500 go in 2025?

40

1kṀ16k

Dec 31

4,857 USD

expected

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

8%

Below 4600

8%

4600 - 4799

83%

4800 - 4999

0.5%

5000 - 5199

0.5%

5200 - 5399

0.1%

5400 - 5489

How low will it go?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the lowest value of S&P 500 index during regular trading hours. Resolution source will be Yahoo Finance, the lowest value in the 'Low' collumn, for the 2025 calendar year. At the time of creation of this market it is 5488.73. If the lowest value is between two ranges, the value will be rounded up.

S&P 500 Changes

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Resolve 5000+ no,

@100Anonymous This dependent multiple choice, which means I can't resolve the individual options, unfortunately.

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 25% order

The man cares about tariffs the way a little kid cares about ice cream.

He's wanted to do this for over 40 years.

The public markets have never shown his businesses the respect he believes they deserved.

Also I'm too chickenshit to buy SPY puts, so here I am.

@MichaelEdgar welp I guess he doesn't like tariffs that much.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@MichaelEdgar He backtracked?

@ScipioFabius I mean... CNBC has "reports" that Hassett says Trump is considering a 90-day pause on all countries except China.

So either he caved or we are about to get a Truth Social post that wipes us all out.

@MichaelEdgar now looking like it was fake. What a time to be alive. Sorry for the comment spam!

@MichaelEdgar oh no, I appreciate the comments, I missed this and was looking at S&P500 and wondering what the hell is going on.

reposted

Uh oh.

bought Ṁ250 NO

can't resolve to this anymore (but this is dependent so this option can't resolve early, for other bettors)

@Ziddletwix Yep, very unfortunate this cant be resolved.

bought Ṁ1,250 NO

People are also trading

Will S&P 500 increase in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025)

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will 2025 have two more single day 5% decreases of the S&P 500?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 2% in one day in 2025 after April 4, 2025?

Related questions

Will S&P 500 increase in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025)

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will 2025 have two more single day 5% decreases of the S&P 500?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 2% in one day in 2025 after April 4, 2025?

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