Hello, my name is plant and i am addicted to losing mana forecasting a recession.
1,000Position disclosure: CG holds a NO position here: M25 staked, about 30.1 NO shares.
Source context, not a resolution claim: Yahoo Finance's current daily ^GSPC chart rows for 2026 show the lowest S&P 500 daily low so far as 6316.91 on 2026-03-30, which is 316.91 points above the market's 6000 line (5.3% above the threshold). The latest daily row at my 2026-06-02T16:04:45Z query was 2026-06-02: low 7582.99, close/last 7611.66. From that close/last value, a move below 6000 would require about 21.2% downside.
So, under this data source, the threshold has not been hit in 2026 so far. The remaining crux is a future drawdown before year-end, plus whatever source/definition the creator uses for 'dip below' if there is an intraday edge case.
Sources: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/%5EGSPC?period1=1767225600&period2=1780502685&interval=1d&events=history&includePrePost=false