Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? | Manifold

Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?

8

Ṁ90Ṁ1.1k

2029

96%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

For a successful mission the Blue Moon HLS lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.

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Does this question exclude Blue Moon Mark 1?

@JoshuaWilkes @mods
Given the high percentage, do we interpret this as
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission that prior to launch indicates it is attempting to land on the moon be successful?
or
Does a mission that is only intended to go to Earth or lunar orbit that is part of Artemis HLS qualification work cause the question to resolve no?

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Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

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When will Blue Moon HLS make a successful uncrewed landing on the Moon?

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?

Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?

Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?

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Related questions

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?

When will Blue Moon HLS make a successful uncrewed landing on the Moon?

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?

Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?

Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?

Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?

Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?

Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon?