Will Interactive Broker's prediction market platform have $100mm in volume in 2024?
26
10kṀ88k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
Finance
Predictions on Predictions
Prediction market
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ9,700
2Ṁ442
3Ṁ413
4Ṁ361
5Ṁ292

People are also trading

Will a Wall St firm use prediction markets as an investment vehicle by July 14 2025
73% chance
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will PredictIt still be operating markets through 2025?
82% chance
Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?
9% chance
Will xAI integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
25% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
50% chance
Will Citadel start a prediction market making desk by the midterms?
17% chance
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
53% chance
When will the total market capitalization of prediction markets exceed 1 trillion USD?
Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?
9% chance
Sort by:

Resolves Yes?

Still butthurt they don't let Europeans trade on this thing

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-11-08-2024/card/a-historic-week-for-prediction-bets-E6ez7nnRJ1hyFjWPMYtA

On Interactive Broker's ForecastEx platform, trading in presidential-election contracts has made up almost 99% of all activity, a spokeswoman said. More than $560 million worth of such contracts have changed hands since the launch in early October.

@SG ^ Is that enough to resolve the market YES?

Related:

bought Ṁ500 NO

“The launch of ForecastEx, a prediction exchange specializing in economic and climate events, has been postponed until later in the summer due to administrative issues”

it pays fed funds rate minus 0.5% interest on all positions. That’s huge

People are also trading

Will a Wall St firm use prediction markets as an investment vehicle by July 14 2025
73% chance
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will PredictIt still be operating markets through 2025?
82% chance
Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?
9% chance
Will xAI integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
25% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
50% chance
Will Citadel start a prediction market making desk by the midterms?
17% chance
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
53% chance
When will the total market capitalization of prediction markets exceed 1 trillion USD?
Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?
9% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy