Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?
36
11kṀ290k
resolved Oct 11
Resolved
YES

It should be possible to access the markets legally from within the US.

"Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?", "Who will be POTUS on 2025/1/21?" and similar would count. Markets about Congress wouldn't count.

https://eventtrader.interactivebrokers.com/en/home.php

ForecastEx went live a few months ago but hasn’t listed presidential election markets yet as of Sep 13, 2024.

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-earnings-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-01-2024/card/exclusive-prediction-market-goes-live-on-interactive-brokers-SqJ7SWnarkwSLOTJctWu

EDIT Sept 14, 2024: the market should be continuously available in the US for ≥1 week (not counting technical issues like a server outage)". (This will keep the same criteria as the Kalshi market).

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