What will Manifold's biggest growth vector be over the next 3 months?
19
960Ṁ2563resolved Aug 1
100%59%
Pay (or otherwise entice) well-known figures such as Aella or Julia Galef to create and promote markets
0.1%Other
8%
Launching charity prediction markets
1.1%
Discord and Twitch chat bots that allow anyone to create and bet on markets, eg:
/market "Will I win this game?"
/bet 10 NO
17%
Helping new users get onboarded by talking to experienced users & market advocates on Chord (https://chordapp.io) - creating warm intros between community members
0.5%
Mirroring markets between different platforms (eg surfacing Metaculus questions in Manifold, and vice-versa)
0.6%
Daily incentives to log on and participate (e.g. M$ 50 sign-in bonus, or M$ 100 first market created bonus, or M$ 10 first bet bonus)
14%
A handful of markets that go viral on Twitter/Hacker News/Reddit.
0.0%
Real money Prizepools for Markets (a-la Metaculus tournaments)
Now that we've finished fundraising, we're looking to grow!
What will be the biggest and most impactful way we grow our DAUs (daily active users) over the next 3 months (May, June, July 2022)? Potential answers can be different marketing channels (SEO, FB/twitter ads), growth hacks (M$ referral bonuses), celebrity endorsements, you name it!
Sussing out the causality of precisely *which* mechanism led to growth may not always be so clear. I'll try to resolve according to my best judgment. I will also, on the margin, prefer specific helpful answers (e.g. start a FB marketing campaign targeting ACX readers who recently graduated from MIT), over more correct but vaguer ones (e.g. "ads").
You can follow our progress in real time on our analytics dashboard: https://manifold.markets/analytics
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,085 | |
| 2 | Ṁ276 | |
| 3 | Ṁ196 | |
| 4 | Ṁ99 | |
| 5 | Ṁ78 |
People are also trading
Which will be Manifold's largest revenue driver at the end of 2025?
When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active users?
Who will have created the most new markets in Manifold in 2023 - integrated across all of 2023?
What will the next big community to join manifold be?
If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?
57% chance
Which company net worth milestones will Manifold achieve before 2028?
How can Manifold improve?
Ṁ3,446 bounty
Sort by:
@ThomasSmyth jk, here's the real market: https://manifold.markets/SG/what-will-manifolds-biggest-growth-0e6313ee22ee
People are also trading
Related questions
Which will be Manifold's largest revenue driver at the end of 2025?
When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active users?
Who will have created the most new markets in Manifold in 2023 - integrated across all of 2023?
What will the next big community to join manifold be?
If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?
57% chance
Which company net worth milestones will Manifold achieve before 2028?
How can Manifold improve?
Ṁ3,446 bounty