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Site activity

Active users

Users who took any action on the site.

Oct 30
52k
7-day avg
56k
+41% vs prior week
vs a year ago
+310%
was 14k
Active usersright axis
Active tradersleft axis

At a glance

Worth a look

2 metrics lack enough complete weeks to judge.

MetricOct 307-day avg13 wks
Users
52k56k+41%
Unusual jump
695717+7%
Unusual jump
71Oct 2978+24%
21%22%+0.5 pts
1Oct 311−53%
Retention
65%67%−2.5 pts
60%59%−0.8 pts
50%51%+0.1 pts
10%Oct 2910%+2.5 pts
10%9%+1.0 pts
Unusual jump
4%Oct 279%+3.2 pts
Engagement
Highest week since Jan ’22
31k38k+3%
73106+42%
227243+14%
Highest week since Jan 2 ’26
13k17k+39%
Conversion
46%Oct 2948%+5.1 pts
2.2Oct 293.4+7%
6%Oct 298%

Top markets yesterday

Markets with the most activity in the past 24 hours.

Most traders

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
412
Will Secret Service director Kimberly Cheatle resign or be fired before end of July?
293
YES
Is Joe Biden dead?
287
NO
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
243
YES
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
237
NO
Will the CrowdStrike outage be mostly fixed (~>75%) by the end of Friday?
169
YES
Biden-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in his post-dropout address to the nation?
164
Which country will win Euro 2024?
140
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump?
133
NO
Will Trump's VP pick be one of the current top 3? (Burgum, Rubio, Vance)
131
YES

Most views

October 2026 AI model releases
171
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
157
27%
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
132
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
99
30%
Largest company end of October 2026?
87
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
87
November 2026 AI model releases
80
Who will be my most streamed Spotify artist in October 2026?
77
Which prediction markets will MNX list before November?
75
Abdul El Sayed Margin Of Victory?
73