Active users
An active user is a user who has taken any action on the site.
20k yesterday; 19k avg last week
Active traders
An active trader is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question.
1097 yesterday; 1021 avg last week
Retention
What fraction of active traders are still active after the given time period?
New user retention
What fraction of new users are still active after the given time period?
Daily activity
Activation rate
Out of all new users, how many placed at least one bet?
D1 average new user bets
On average for new users, how many bets did they place in the first 24 hours?
Ratio of Active Users
Total mana bet
Sum of bet amounts. (Divided by 100 to be more readable.)
Home feed conversion rate
Interactions/views
,
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Top markets yesterday
Markets with the most activity in the past 24 hours.
Most traders
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
412
Will Secret Service director Kimberly Cheatle resign or be fired before end of July?
293
YES
Is Joe Biden dead?
287
NO
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
243
YES
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
237
NO
State of the Union Address 2026
174
Will the CrowdStrike outage be mostly fixed (~>75%) by the end of Friday?
169
YES
Biden-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in his post-dropout address to the nation?
164
Which country will win Euro 2024?
140
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump?
133
NO
Most views
Will a famous person bet on this market?
703
72%
State of the Union Address 2026
691
Will the US strike Iran by the end of February?
395
24%
What is the top fast food chain?
310
Outcomes of the Anthropic vs. US government feud?
256
What will the highest 2026 USAMO cutoff be?
198
397
Will I weigh <89.5kg at any point before March 1st?
186
97%
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
150
82%
Will formal peace talks between Russia and Ukraine take place before March 10, 2026?
146
22%
Which party will win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
139