Update 2026-01-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on subscriptions obtained before March 1st, 2026 (not 2027 as the auto-generated close date suggested).
1,000People are also trading
@Eliza Hmm it looks like it defaulted to 1y, so either it prompted the modal or something went wrong - when I input this exact title it loads 1 March 2026 as the close date
It's hard to know what to change
@Gen The thing to change is to ask the user to put it in so it doesn't guess wrong. Or at the very least you need to present it directly in front of their eyes. Guessing wrong can be fatal for a market!
@121 "Plus" Tier +EV if you are using the site a lot. Daily streak gets you +M375 which covers 75% of the cost, if you share a few times and make 1-2 markets, you profit overall
For "Pro" or "Premium" to be +EV, you need to be utilising leverage, the shop discounts, or getting referrals.
@Gen If you have any stake in the outcome of this feature, it is critical to put the fact that the basic tier is literally free mana in front of every user in a way that they will do it. Getting 1/10 active users to join for the 500 user mark is an awesome goal but it needs active marketing.
@Eliza Yeah, there might be a way to show "up to M[X] value", or similar... Even Pro, if you get 2-3 referrals a month you'll profit there too, ignoring any potential benefit from increased leverage
imo its all very reasonably priced, especially bc you can pay with mana. It'd probably be more profitable to run a very high reward subscription that gives loads of mana and is only purchasable with $$, but that kind of thing erodes the game/economy over time (not to say it couldn't be done, it works for many other places)
I agree that the benefits do need to be communicated in a way that leaves people seeing the +EV outcomes rather than assuming it's purely a cosmetic benefit
I think the 500 answer is the most interesting right now. The 50 and 100 should be easy but this would be in the neighborhood of 10% of users who will place bets in the period of time. If it is advertised heavily with banners etc. it seems like it could be close, but if it's only seen by people who look for it, then it's a No Way.
@Jack1 Good news, it's also on the stats page now. And it's 16 because one silly guy bought it twice.
@Eliza Very cool to have a market type which is actively deceptive and also hides information.