Successful Starship splashdowns before orbital launch attempt?
14
Ṁ1kṀ5kJul 1
1%
4
1%
5
21%
6
32%
7
27%
8
18%
The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down.
Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is not a multiple resolution market - only one option can resolve YES.
The market was temporarily resolved as 4 and then unresolved.
Update 2026-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Flight 11 counts as a successful splashdown. Flight 12 appears successful but is pending confirmation from new video releases. If Flight 12 is confirmed, the total successful splashdowns would be 6.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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