Successful Starship splashdowns before orbital launch attempt?
1
1kṀ50Jan 1
17%
4
17%
5
17%
6
17%
7
17%
8
17%
The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will Starship successfully land for the first time?
8/18/26
Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?
87% chance
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
How many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
1% chance