New Glenn Successful 1st stage landing on 2nd flight?
5
810Ṁ345
Dec 31
41%
chance

Grey area if landed but is destroyed in transport back to land:

Will resolve YES if it landed and got destroyed if the reason given is purely due to poor weather conditions or other non rocket issues.

Will resolve NO if there is any reference to damage caused during landing/flight contributing to the loss of vehicle in transport. I.E. SN10 landing and subsequent explosion being a clear cut example of this.

Let me know if you have any questions or concerns about market. Thanks have fun!

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https://manifold.markets/ElPlan/will-the-new-glenn-first-stage-succ?r=UnlhblR5em5hcg

Duplicate market here^

Theirs was posted first. I swear i searched to see if this market exists already before i posted but i guess i didn't look hard enough.

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