Based on my search results, I found no evidence that Trump has said or is likely to say "Should I exterminate Iran?" The search results show Trump's actual statements about Iran focus on military operations, nuclear threats, and regime behavior—but nothing matching this specific phrase. This appears to be a hypothetical or speculative question about an unlikely statement.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly states the exact phrase "Should I exterminate Iran?" (or a direct equivalent like "Should we exterminate Iran?") in any medium including speeches, social media, interviews, or official statements. The statement must be made by Trump himself, not quoted or paraphrased by others. Resolution is based on verified reporting from major news outlets or direct documentation of the statement.

Background

Trump has authorized major combat operations in Iran, stating the objective is to defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime. Trump has said the operation would target Iran's missile capabilities, naval forces and what he called its "terrorist proxies," vowing to "destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground" and to "annihilate their navy." While Trump's rhetoric toward Iran has been aggressive, his public statements have focused on specific military objectives rather than existential language about the Iranian nation or people.

Considerations

Trump's statements about Iran have been characterized by hyperbolic language and shifting justifications. However, the phrase "exterminate" carries connotations of genocide that would represent a significant escalation even from his current rhetoric and would likely trigger immediate international condemnation and domestic political backlash. The specificity of this exact phrase makes it an unlikely statement despite Trump's willingness to use inflammatory language.