ADDED: This question is intended to relate to data related to advances in AI. So model weights definitely count, as would other outputs of model training that they didn't want to be public. Theft of non-public training methods would also count, or extraction of non-public data that is used to train cutting-edge models.

By contrast, emails about other topics, or HR records, or customer details, or customer questions/answers from GPT-4 would not count.

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This market will resolve YES if, by the end of 2023, it becomes known by any reliable method, that OpenAI, Anthropic or Deepmind has suffered a significant loss of sensitive or valuable data due to any external breach of their computer networks.

You can find some discussion of the security challenges they face here.