Shankypanky insists she has never missed a day in her 91 day streak, yet only has 1 streak forgiveness point. I pointed out it counts any bets made after 11PM as the next day. She doubled down.
This market resolves based on if she has failed to bet in the alloted time (by Manifold) between the start of her streak and market creation.
I plan on figuring this out if there's mana enough in it for me, else I'll resolve based on credible claims in the comments.
I will bet in this market.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Ṁ372 | |
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| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
@shankypanky Following up with posting in the market in the middle of the night isn’t changing any optics…😅
@Joroth Tim I just went to play D&D with strangers and a guy said to me "did you say your name is Stefanie? I think I've seen you commenting things on Manifold?" 🫠
I intend to dump my league winnings into this market too, if I’m paid out before you close the market.
okay, we have a hand count that shows I haven't missed a day in the last 93 (h/t @snazzlePop for going through 16 pages of betting history)
do you consider that credible enough @RobertCousineau?
@shankypanky I'd personally like something independently verifiable (e.g. a chunk of code that I can execute). I'm happy to make this and post it tomorrow.
@RobertCousineau kudos to @snazzlePop though - that is an impressive amount of effort (and if it is accurate, quite fruitful for them).
It only took a few minutes — I scanned through the ledger in @shankypanky ’s profile and found >= 1 transaction for each day (before 11pm) going back to November 2nd.
I understand why you’d want to double-check, though! There’s a lot of mana at stake at this point, and I’m not exactly a neutral auditor myself.