This resolves YES if I measure my weight at 160.0 lbs or less on May 16th 2024 ET, otherwise NO.

5'7" and 186.4 lbs at time of posting. I will only buy YES and I will not sell my position.

At time of posting (Jan 30) I weigh 186.4. My scale displays in 0.2 lbs increments.

I just got a body fat caliper and measured at 30.4%BF, meaning 160 lbs would be about 19%BF. I don't know how accurate my reading was but 30% seems right, visually.

I started logging my weight when I tried to do this for my last trip (Jan 2-18) but failed midway and gained most of it back. This market only resolves based on the last day so I need to keep it off.

I want to lose this weight so I can walk a lot with feet pain and not be as hot throughout the trip, so I will be very disappointed if I don't get pretty close.

I mainly focus on having a large calorie deficit. I hope I will exercise but I'm not sure how consistently I'll do it.

I'm cutting the embed to just this attempt, but the sheet has data back to october and I should be updating it daily. Values with yellow highlighting are interpolated.

Link to Google Sheet