Will anyone hit a daily streak of 800 in 2024?
21
170
410
Jul 2
83%
chance

If daily streaks are removed before anyone hits 800 but while someone still has the possibility to do so, this resolves N/A.

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There's 458 days between 30 September 2023 and 31 December 2024.

So people who have a chance of hitting a streak of 800 in 2024 are those who have a streak of at least 342 today.

As far as I can tell, there's currently 13 such people.

predicts YES

@wadimiusz How are you getting that number? Do you have a list of usernames?

predicts YES

@IsaacKing I used this github gist: https://gist.github.com/chrisjbillington/260114bf0d0ad99127ae53de64308a72

It uses the Manifold API, you don't even need a key, this is like pretty public knowledge with no authorization needed

The users with streaks above 342 are (number in the list / streak / username):

1 410 jack
2 409 MartinRandall
3 407 FranklinBaldo
4 405 SG
5 405 Predictor
6 403 egroj
7 402 SneakySly
8 389 ScottLawrence
9 382 BoltonBailey
10 375 citrinitas
11 373 Conflux
12 348 JoshuaB
13 346 BTE

How many users are there with long enough streaks to make this happen?

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@JosephNoonan Don't know, but @SneakySly just hit 400, so it is possible.