Will anyone hit a daily streak of 800 in 2024?
Basic
21
1.0k
Jul 2
83%
chance

If daily streaks are removed before anyone hits 800 but while someone still has the possibility to do so, this resolves N/A.

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There's 458 days between 30 September 2023 and 31 December 2024.

So people who have a chance of hitting a streak of 800 in 2024 are those who have a streak of at least 342 today.

As far as I can tell, there's currently 13 such people.

predicts YES

@wadimiusz How are you getting that number? Do you have a list of usernames?

predicts YES

@IsaacKing I used this github gist: https://gist.github.com/chrisjbillington/260114bf0d0ad99127ae53de64308a72

It uses the Manifold API, you don't even need a key, this is like pretty public knowledge with no authorization needed

The users with streaks above 342 are (number in the list / streak / username):

1 410 jack
2 409 MartinRandall
3 407 FranklinBaldo
4 405 SG
5 405 Predictor
6 403 egroj
7 402 SneakySly
8 389 ScottLawrence
9 382 BoltonBailey
10 375 citrinitas
11 373 Conflux
12 348 JoshuaB
13 346 BTE

How many users are there with long enough streaks to make this happen?

@JosephNoonan Don't know, but @SneakySly just hit 400, so it is possible.