Will the red imported fire ant (Solenopsis invicta) reach Germany by end of 2024?
5
159
Ṁ59Ṁ130
Dec 31
48%
chance
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1W
1M
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According to Current Biology, 88 nests of the red imported fire ant (Solenopsis Invicta) have been found in Sicily. According to the study, "half of the urban areas in Europe are already suitable and that climate warming expected under current trends will favor the expansion of this invasive ant".
According to the article, Solenopsis Invicta is classified as one of the worst invasive alien species and as the fifth costliest worldwide, impacting ecosystems, agriculture and human health.
This question resolves YES, if major news agencies report Solenopsis Invicta nests anywhere in Germany (outside of labs) by the end of 2024. If no nests exist, or nests existed in 2024 but are reported only after end of year, this question resolves as NO.
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