Will the Fire Salamander (Salamandra salamandra) become extinct in the current century?
Basic
2
Ṁ95
2099
26%
chance

The Fire Salamander, aka Common Fire Salamander is a species of salamander living in forests of central and southern Europe. This market will resolve YES if the Fire Salamander is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fire_salamander

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Vulnerable

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/59467/219148292

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:

https://manifold.markets/ExtinctionRisk?tab=questions

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