Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?
12
83
210
2029
60%
chance

Resolves as YES if at least 100 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2029.

Different number of robots:

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/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact

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/RemNi/will-100k-humanoid-robots-be-manufa (this question)

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/RemNi/will-2m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact

Different years:

/RemNi/will-100k-humanoid-robots-be-manufa-4ac19368e941

/RemNi/will-100k-humanoid-robots-be-manufa (this question)

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These humanoid robots must meet specific criteria to be counted towards this total. Each robot must be bipedal, walking upright on two legs in a manner that broadly resembles human walking. Additionally, each robot must be equipped with hands capable of manipulating objects. The hands should have fingers or similar appendages, allowing them to grip, hold, and interact with various items. Each robot must be capable of autonomous function without external power for a duration of at least 1 hour in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Each robot must be between 1.25 and 3 meters tall when standing up, and weigh between 25 and 500 kg. Furthermore, each robot must be able to lift a 10kg box off the floor and walk with it for 10 meters in order to qualify.

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This factory in Bend, OR is expecting to crank out 10k humanoid robots a year once the factory is fully functional in 2025.

https://businessfacilities.com/worlds-first-humanoid-robot-factory-being-built-in-oregon

Throw in the robots of Amazon and Telstra and I think the target is quite achievable.

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