In simplified terms, this market is meant to resolve the question of whether generated text will become as normalized and accepted as the use of spell checkers and word editors.

At the start of this market, Universities are largely considering the use of generative AI to write essays as a form of cheating - some are requiring a proctor for written essays as a result. For historical context, recall that spelling was once considered a crucial skill, and the use of a spell checker was initially considered cheating by many. Only in the 1980's and 90's with the availability of commercial spell checkers did the use of them begin to normalize.

If at any point before 2030 all of the top 10 undergraduate universities as ranked by the Princeton Review in that year allow the use of generative AI in the generation of text, without any restrictions, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. (If the Princeton Review ceases to be a suitable authority in this time, as per my judgement, I will find a substitute authority to select the top 10 academic institutions.)

Examples (not limited):

• If a top 10 university allows the use of most, but not all text generative AI services / applications, it is a restriction and won't resolve to Yes. For example, if there are premium services that a university forbids, and requires that students use generators from an accepted providers list.

• If in 2026 the Princeton Review's list of top 10 universities from 2025 all allow unrestricted generation of text, but the 2026 list differs and doesn't allow unrestricted use, then the market won't resolve to Yes. This market is based on the current top 10 ranked undergraduate institutions.

• If a university bans a text generation AI services because people are in the loop, that is not a restriction on AI text generation, it's a restriction on people being allowed to help, and the market may still resolve Yes depending on whether the criteria is otherwise met. If a service that offers both AI and human in the loop help and is completely banned, then I will use my judgement, but will lean towards resolving to Yes as the intent is to prevent other humans, not AI generated text.