What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?
34
1kṀ23262030
6.9
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Students must be enrolled at the end of 2030. If there is not an accurate count, I will resolve to a good faith estimate.
Edit: Note that if this market was to resolve today (Jul 11, 2023) it would resolve to 0. I will not count "they studied math which increases their intelligence" style arguments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the average IQ/intelligence of manifold users in 2025 be lower than that of 2023?
69% chance
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
71% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
91% chance
EOY 2030, what % of MIT undergrads self-modified to reduce their sleep needs using medical tools unavailable in 2023?
9
At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
68% chance
At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
71% chance
Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?
76% chance
At the beginning of 2040, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
69% chance
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
68% chance