Will a sub-20 ranked college or university break the top 5 by 2050?
12
1kṀ267
2050
61%
chance

Predict a shake-up(or not) in American higher education. Based on the US News and World Report "National Universities" list[1], will any university not now in the top 20 break the top 5 by 2050?

[1] https://www.usnews.com/best-colleges/rankings/national-universities

Market context
Science
Higher Education
Long-term Markets
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

How would this resolve if a university that isn’t currently ranked/doesn’t currently exist is ranked top 5 on the list? What happens if the list ceases to be published by US news?

@adk Yes if a new college ranks top 5, N/A if there is no list any time before 2050.

People are also trading

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?
2037
Which FCS teams will move up to FBS by 2050? (Add Answers)
Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?
28% chance
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?
72% chance
Will US test scores reach new highs by 2050?
58% chance
Will I believe college/university is important for my children to attend by the year 2040?
50% chance
Will at least one U.S. state flagship university permanently close by the end of 2034?
38% chance
Will all public college be tuition free in the US by 2050?
39% chance
Chinese university beats Harvard in Times Higher Education ranking by 2031?
23% chance
AI generated text will be permitted without restriction at all 10 of the highest ranked universities by the end of the decade (<2030)
8% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy