Will there be another Manifest before the end of 2024?
Plus
39
Ṁ6529Dec 31
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Derived from Saul suggesting this is plausible here: https://manifold.markets/saulmunn/will-there-be-a-manifest-in-the-nex
Resolves YES if there's an event after 20 June 2024 and starts before 1 Jan 2025 with all of the following properties:
more than 50 attendees
organized by staff at manifold or manifund or similarly adjacent folks (e.g. me if i don't work there would count)
has the name "manifest" or some portmanteau in the name (e.g. "manivibefest" or "lessfest" would count)
is at least nominally for prediction markets, forecasting, and other related topics (betting, mechanism design, impact markets, etc)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@nikki I hope it's not Dec 22/23 (I think it's pretty typical to be unavailable the weekend before the holidays)
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