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MANIFOLD
Will I believe Trump called out for shutting down the internet before he leaves office?
6
αΉ€100αΉ€106
2029
28%
chance

Resolves YES if I see a public statement from Donald J Trump that involves him calling for a large portion of or for the entire portion of the internet to be shut down, turned off, or heavily throttled before he leaves office.

Otherwise, resolves NO.

This market is largely vibes based. I am the final judge unless I'm inactive*. Trade at your own risk. Ask clarifying questions. I do not claim to be an expert on internet infrastructure. I will not trade on this market.

*If there is an outcry in the comments for a judgement call, and I am inactive for β‰₯7 days, then other moderators are empowered to take over. Other moderators are also empowered to close this market at will (regardless of when I was last active) if it's pending a judgement call.

  • Update 2026-09-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The condition "before he leaves office" refers to when the public statement is made, not to the timeline of when he wants the internet shut down.

  • Update 2026-09-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the purposes of this market, the term internet does not include Meshtastic.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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"Internet" is non-inclusive of what I understand Meshtastic to be for the sake of this market.

To cover the edge case, the "before he leaves office" refers to when the statement is made, not to the timeline of when he wants the internet shut down.