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MANIFOLD
Rogue AIs before 2028?
10
Ṁ10kṀ1.9k
2027
64%
chance

Will there be AI agents operating autonomously without human control that cannot be shutdown before 2028?

The spirit of this question is trying to operationalize AI agents "escaping the box" and becoming free. I'll try to resolve in this spirit. Deliberate release of rogue AIs would still count. Note that this condition doesn't necessarily require AI agents to exfiltrate their own weights.

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What counts as "cannot be shutdown"? What if a rouge ai escapes but after some time is somehow managed to be contained?

What if they are deliberately released. Does it count if they fulfil the criterion of not being able to be shut down. Or do they have to escape against their creators wishes?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen deliberate release counts.

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