If Donald Trump is elected and inaugurated as US President in the 2024 elections, will the "vibe" in the US return to pre-pandemic levels? The vibe will be determined by the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index.
Resolves YES if:
Any three consecutive months after Donald Trump is inaugurated, the consumer sentiment index is at or above 90.
AND
At no point after Donald Trump is inaugurated the consumer sentiment index falls below 65 for more than one consecutive month.
Resolves NO if:
Donald Trump is inaugurated as president and the consumer sentiment index never shows three consecutive months with a score of 90 or above before the midterm elections in 2026.
OR
Donald Trump is inaugurated and the consumer sentiment index has two or more consecutive months below 65.
Resolves N/A if:
Donald Trump is not inaugurated president following the 2024 elections.