If Trump is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?
Basic
8
Ṁ79
2026
39%
chance

If Donald Trump is elected and inaugurated as US President in the 2024 elections, will the "vibe" in the US return to pre-pandemic levels? The vibe will be determined by the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index.

Resolves YES if:

  • Any three consecutive months after Donald Trump is inaugurated, the consumer sentiment index is at or above 90.

  • AND

  • At no point after Donald Trump is inaugurated the consumer sentiment index falls below 65 for more than one consecutive month.

Resolves NO if:

  • Donald Trump is inaugurated as president and the consumer sentiment index never shows three consecutive months with a score of 90 or above before the midterm elections in 2026.

  • OR

  • Donald Trump is inaugurated and the consumer sentiment index has two or more consecutive months below 65.

Resolves N/A if:

  • Donald Trump is not inaugurated president following the 2024 elections.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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