Will SCOTUS intervene directly in Texas redistricting before Nov 2026?
7
100Ṁ851
resolved Dec 4
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if the U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS) directly intervenes in Texas congressional redistricting before November 1, 2026. "Directly intervenes" includes:

  • Issuing a ruling on any Texas redistricting case (whether on merits, emergency appeals, or shadow docket orders).

  • Taking up (granting certiorari on) any redistricting case specific to Texas.

  • Issuing an injunction, stay, or order that materially alters Texas redistricting processes or maps before Nov 2026.

Denying certiorari or declining to hear a case does not count as intervention. Lower federal or state court rulings do not count unless SCOTUS directly acts.

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