Will there be a military drone-swarm to drone-swarm dogfight (packfight?) before July 2025? | Manifold

Will there be a military drone-swarm to drone-swarm dogfight (packfight?) before July 2025?

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https://pca.st/episode/6c269e83-9392-44b7-8279-36ea379ed580?t=825.0

"That'll happen within one year, I guarantee it!"

Jim Rutt when interviewing Sergey Kuprienko, CEO and co-founder of Swarmer, about drone warfare in the Russo-Ukrainian War.

Anywhere in the world qualifies

Reach out to me if I forget to resolve

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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#Technical AI Timelines

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

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bought Ṁ350 NO

Seems unlikely now... I'll try to reach out to Jim Ruth, to confirm the resolution

So what are the parameters (no , I'm not going to listen to the podcast)? At least 2 drones on each side? Armed with non-suicide weapons? How autonomous do they have to be? Details, details.

bought Ṁ50 NO

I too would like to see some resolution criteria

Right, right

I mean 4 on each side seems like the bare minimum for a "swarm"

Going by the vibes of the conversation, I would say, each pilot must control at least 2 drones

I'm not sure about why non-suicide weapons would matter, suicide weapons seem like a good choice for a swarm of drones? But I'm ready to hear you out if you think it's important

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AI controlled drone dogfights will make a debut in Ukraine by end of war.

Will autonomous drone swarms kill over a thousand soldiers by the end of the Ukraine-Russia War?

Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?

Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?

Will humanoid robots be deployed to combat before 2035?

Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?

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