Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2026?
9
110Ṁ371resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is a lack of clarity about what occurred I will make a good faith attempt to determine it, using all available sources.
I will not bet in this market.
Definitions of PLA aircraft and other nation's militaries will be expansive rather than narrow.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ22 | |
| 2 | Ṁ12 | |
| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ10 | |
| 5 | Ṁ9 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a new(ly) major war in 2026?
25% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?
52% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2028?
41% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2031?
59% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2035?
41% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
19% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
20% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
48% chance
China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
12% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
83% chance