
Will a drone swarm cause havoc in a major city by 2026?
20
1kṀ9382026
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Either a form of attack, a mishap during a entertainment display, or as part of a distraction campaign. Drones working together (3+ individual drones) cause havoc in some notable way.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a military drone-swarm to drone-swarm dogfight (packfight?) before July 2025?
4% chance
Fatal terrorist attack via drone swarm in the West before 2026-06-18?
30% chance
Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?
29% chance
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
24% chance
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Drone Swarm Assassinate a Public Figure by 2040?
74% chance
Will drones become restricted similarly to guns in the US by 2030?
23% chance
Will there be AI drone that replaces current FPV drones in 2025? (can go 10km without wire/being jammed)
48% chance
Will there be an attack on US civilians committed primarily with drones with >9 casualties before 2031?
56% chance
Dyson sphere/swarm before 2050?
12% chance
Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars?
25% chance