Will there be AI drone that replaces current FPV drones in 2025? (can go 10km without wire/being jammed)
17
1kṀ3811
Jan 1
11%
chance
17

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, a First-Person View (FPV) drone with integrated artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities is demonstrated to achieve a wireless operational range of at least 10 kilometers without some kind of wire. Verification must come from reputable sources.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

The Skydio X10D can navigate autonomously in GPS denied environments and has significantly greater than 10km of flight range https://support.skydio.com/hc/en-us/articles/36550953430811-How-to-use-Anchor-Point-on-Skydio-X10D

bought Ṁ10 YES

This is kind of a solved problem, but I’m not sure why there’s a qualifier of it being an FPV drone since supposedly it’s operating in conditions with no way to get that View back to an operator.

https://blog.palantir.com/the-future-of-drone-navigation-7236075fdedf

I don't feel this is a good criterion? Jamming is effective on the order of 100m, it does not seem that 10 km is something that has demand atm

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