MANIFOLD
US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
33
Ṁ100Ṁ2.1k
Dec 31
15%
chance
3

This question asks if there will be a drone strike carried out by the US Military on Mexican soil before the end of 2026. Must be publicly reported on before the close date to count.

Market context
World
Geopolitics
Wars
United States
Mexico
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 NO

I don't see a reason why the US would become so hostile to Mexico that the former would literally militarily attack the latter. If this actually happened I think the world (especially the Americas) would probably go nuts and global sentiment might even turn against the US even more quickly.

@duck_master Here is an example of some relevant reporting.

People are also trading

US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
+12% 1d37% chance
Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?
+6% 1d57% chance
Will the US attack Mexico in 10 days?
-44% 1d6% chance
Will the U.S. be at war against Mexico by 2027 year end?
+6% 1d9% chance
Trump strikes drug cartels in Mexico in 2026
-5% 1d46% chance
If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?
+3% 1d17% chance
Will the US strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?
42% chance
Fatal terrorist attack via drone swarm in the West before 2026-06-18?
14% chance
Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026
81% chance
US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
12% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy