If Scotland asks for a section 30 order for an independence referendum, will UK grant one in 2022?

9

120Ṁ350

resolved Apr 14

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Scotland doesn't ask for a section 30 order in 2022, resolves to N/A. If Scotland does ask for a section 30 order, and UK grants it by the end of 2022, resolves to YES. If Scotland asks for a section 30 order, but UK doesn't grant it by the end of 2022, resolves to NO. Background on a section 30 order: <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-50744526> #UK #Scotland #Politics

Scottish independence

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I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here: https://help.manifold.markets/unresolved-markets

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

@NcyRocks I am the creator (using a different account). Clearly it should resolve to N/A. @DavidChee.

@PontiMin Why? This is kind of a pointless comment if you don't meaningfully respond to N.C.'s source for resolving NO.

Scotland didn't ask for a Section 30 order, resolving N/A.

I was wrong - looks like Nicola Sturgeon did ask for one, and it was rejected: https://www.thenational.scot/news/20261080.boris-johnson-rejects-nicola-sturgeons-section-30-order-cabinet-falls-apart/
Any objections to resolving NO?

Do we know the correct resolution for this market?

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