Will a referendum be held on Welsh independence from the United Kingdom before 2030?
14
1kṀ761
2029
5%
chance

Resolves YES if a referendum is held by the close date on Wales' membership of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland by close date.

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Very doubtful. Support for Welsh independence is at best maybe 1 in 3 so even Plaid Cymru aren't actively trying to get a plebiscite they know they'd lose. Likelihood is that there will be Labour government for the remainder of this decade which will further reduce the desire for independence in Wales.

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