I’m curious as to which seats people think. The only seat reform are polling ahead on is Clacton

If you think brexit voters / working class Tories wont pivot into Reform I dont know what to say. They're polling at ~15-20% in a sample of 2k

@Greyhawk Since Farage said he'd be standing, Reform's vote share in the polls has gone up. If this continues, they may well win more than 2 seats.

See also: https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot