UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK win at least 2 seats? | Manifold

UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK win at least 2 seats?

Plus

110

Ṁ24k

resolved Jul 5

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Reform UK win 2 or more seats in the General election on 4 July 2024.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇬🇧 UK General Election 2024

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Farage has won, giving Reform 2 seats, so resolves YES.

I’m curious as to which seats people think. The only seat reform are polling ahead on is Clacton

bought Ṁ500 YES

If you think brexit voters / working class Tories wont pivot into Reform I dont know what to say. They're polling at ~15-20% in a sample of 2k

@Greyhawk Since Farage said he'd be standing, Reform's vote share in the polls has gone up. If this continues, they may well win more than 2 seats.

bought Ṁ50 YES

See also: https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot

Related questions

Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?

+4% 1d54% chance

In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?

What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Related questions

Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?

Will Reform win the next UK election?

In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?

Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?

What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules