UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK win at least 2 seats?

110

1kṀ24k

resolved Jul 5

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Reform UK win 2 or more seats in the General election on 4 July 2024.

UK General Election 2024

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In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?

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Farage has won, giving Reform 2 seats, so resolves YES.

I’m curious as to which seats people think. The only seat reform are polling ahead on is Clacton

bought Ṁ500 YES

If you think brexit voters / working class Tories wont pivot into Reform I dont know what to say. They're polling at ~15-20% in a sample of 2k

@Greyhawk Since Farage said he'd be standing, Reform's vote share in the polls has gone up. If this continues, they may well win more than 2 seats.

bought Ṁ50 YES

See also: https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot

People are also trading

In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?

Related questions

In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?

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