UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK win at least 2 seats?

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1kṀ24k

resolved Jul 5

Resolved

YES

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Resolves YES if Reform UK win 2 or more seats in the General election on 4 July 2024.

UK General Election 2024

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Farage has won, giving Reform 2 seats, so resolves YES.

I’m curious as to which seats people think. The only seat reform are polling ahead on is Clacton

bought Ṁ500 YES

If you think brexit voters / working class Tories wont pivot into Reform I dont know what to say. They're polling at ~15-20% in a sample of 2k

@Greyhawk Since Farage said he'd be standing, Reform's vote share in the polls has gone up. If this continues, they may well win more than 2 seats.

bought Ṁ50 YES

See also: https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot

People are also trading

How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?

Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Related questions

How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?

Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

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